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16 August 2018 | AutoData INDUSTRIAL POLICY » THE ABC OF ROTA 2030 It’s in force. But it’s not. no manufacturer can assume the commitments stablished by Rota because it is not known which they are officially and how the legal process to assume them will work. The bureaucratic process so the new automotive policy turn into law is quite tortuous. The basis of everything is the Provisional Measure 843, of July 5, 2018. The text of the PM determines that it comes to be in force immediately - but then the mess shows up. The PM itself points out that the specific part of Rota 2030 starts to be valid in August 1st of 2018 and the regime for auto parts not produced in Brazil starts from January 1st, 2019. So far so good. Just like any other PM, the one regarding Rota needs to be approved by the Congress in up to 120 days, in other words, November 14, 2018. If it is not, for any reason, the program ceases to exist. And to be approved, the PM must follow a process that goes through analysis first and approval by a mixed commission, formed by deputies and senators, and then by a vote in the plenaries of the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies and the Senate. At the same time, the PM determined the creation, within thirty days, of a decree that regulates the program, which will be indicated, for example, the energy efficiency indexes, the schedule of safety items and other details of the automotive regime operation. Before the decree, therefore, So Rota is technically in force but, in practice, it is not. Assuming that everything goes right, in other words, that the decree comes on time and that the PM is approved, the process does not end there. It is almost certain that there will be some kind of change in the PM’s text promoted by congressmen and senators and these changes, as minimal as they can be, will demand decree text revision, since it will be originally published before the same PM Congress analysis. And even after this theoretical revision of the decree’s text the process once again will not be finalized: it will be the ordinances’ turn, which will detail the items of the regulation. The most optimistic prediction is that this process, with everything running as expected, will be complete by the end of the first quarter of 2019 - already under a new government, therefore. In the most pessimistic prediction, never: this happened with Inovar-Auto, which ended without all the necessary decree’s text adjustments, even during the five years of its term.