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7 12.3 to 12.8.2018 Anfavea figures Sales to stay above projection in 2018 Marcos Rozen | rozen@autodata.com.br S ão Paulo - Anfavea believes that its projection for total vehicle sales in 2018 is out of date. But the news is good: the official estimate is underestimated and should be surpassed with the results of this month, the last of the year. In early October, the association had already revised upwards the projection for the year which jumped from 2 million 502 thousand, equivalent to growth of 11.7% from 2017, to 2 million 546 thousand, up 13.7%. President Antonio Megale now speaks in a more probable result of 2 million 560 thousand, which would represent increase of 14.3% compared to 2 million 240 thousand last year. The most particular reason for this situation is the daily average sales, which in October and November has stabilized at around 11 thousand 500 units, “an interesting level”, according Megale: “December is usually a good month. Last year, it closed at 213 thousand and we believe we can now reach 250 thousand”. If this volume is confirmed now, in December, the final result will be even higher, something around 2 million 582 thousand, or a 15% increase. November, alone, reached 230 thousand 945 units sold, a 13% increase compared to the same month of 2017, 204.2 thousand. In comparison with October, 254.7 thousand, there was a decrease of 9.3%, essentially for less business days – there was two national holidays and one municipal in Brazil last month, with an extension of four days. There were 2 million 332 thousand sold units in the year, increase of 15% from the exact sum of the first eleven months of 2017. Even so, the volume is almost 500 thousand units below the average of the last ten years for the period, 2.8 million. In 2018, no month registered a negative result in sales compared to the same period of 2017. The percentage best result so far was in April, with 38.5% and the weakest in May, 3.2%. Stock levels fell slightly in November to 290 thousand 800 units, compared to 293 thousand 900 units reached in October – 173 thousand 800 are in the dealerships’ yards and 117 thousand in factories. The volume is equivalent to 38 days of sales, similar to October.